Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1445.171931 1659.088392 1901.533357 2198.235337 2553.675246 2968.463245 3493.035115
2025-06-22 1084.520262 1345.128744 1670.411682 2112.229447 2706.042058 3490.275336 4627.965166
2025-06-29 902.995802 1173.483887 1531.667076 2051.325479 2804.290832 3885.680981 5614.309779
2025-07-06 771.659611 1039.296462 1410.308246 1977.391930 2850.645331 4195.327687 6531.620096
2025-07-13 714.474310 995.138859 1401.475197 2054.638400 3122.669986 4887.245803 8230.922740
2025-07-20 655.765959 939.201958 1364.749626 2078.783954 3308.811920 5472.160505 9909.979580
2025-07-27 612.693057 900.241169 1346.713700 2126.611852 3538.578862 6177.878197 12039.950863
2025-08-03 573.677138 862.358276 1324.319782 2161.378780 3748.170737 6889.800674 14427.013659
2025-08-10 547.485435 841.532879 1326.256008 2237.208787 4046.384671 7847.355839 17744.287234
2025-08-17 516.325183 808.957823 1303.867804 2264.108972 4251.569511 8657.256298 21035.219295
2025-08-24 485.643386 773.988260 1272.993442 2269.612919 4412.206192 9406.348680 24500.793287
2025-08-31 458.820532 743.046221 1245.707865 2277.689932 4579.067992 10214.059696 28543.768537
2025-09-07 439.112921 724.123687 1240.752550 2335.524295 4883.230219 11496.142588 35021.694224
2025-09-14 403.979007 674.594622 1173.619267 2254.875151 4848.587601 11871.163812 38573.089882
2025-09-21 374.285881 632.455827 1116.334897 2187.286463 4832.519431 12296.463108 42630.864387
2025-09-28 346.306563 591.286913 1057.064727 2107.552084 4771.027657 12573.063594 46300.096398
2025-10-05 337.846015 586.229242 1069.147421 2191.067496 5156.677337 14386.258883 58601.444949
2025-10-12 324.359793 570.318466 1057.396464 2217.198396 5392.329891 15800.815057 70417.203011
2025-10-19 314.222641 560.092950 1056.375694 2268.965185 5714.257331 17659.364337 87036.275556
2025-10-26 303.568278 547.951693 1050.016700 2306.609082 6004.414808 19535.053095 106478.273112
2025-11-02 297.122054 543.775422 1060.464595 2388.751518 6455.146379 22284.879926 137029.472978
2025-11-09 287.022694 531.276972 1051.210814 2417.903233 6743.293332 24499.023576 167790.039616
2025-11-16 275.973451 515.980701 1034.214654 2423.868637 6956.370569 26494.649363 201180.427412